The next El Niño: when is it coming and how strong might this one be for Australia.

An El Niño currently appears possible after three wet La Niña years, which could reduce rainfall, increase temperatures, and result in nightmare wildfire conditions. There is a huge blob of warm water between 100 and 200 meters deep in the Pacific Ocean, stretching almost 12,000 kilometers along the equator. If enough of that water rises …

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